predicted sports
← UFC 280
Aljamain Sterling
26-5 · Orthodox
vs
TJ Dillashaw
18-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · Title
Result
Aljamain Sterling def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:44
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
67"
36
Age
40
4.26
SLpM
5.09
52%
Str. Acc.
41%
2.15
SApM
3.47
59%
Str. Def.
62%
2.54
TD Avg.
1.56
44%
TD Def.
77%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Aljamain Sterling finishes 11% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
In 5-round fights 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
TJ Dillashaw finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
In 5-round fights 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.