UFC Fight Night ยท Heavyweight
Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz
October 17, 2026 ยท Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
๐
Unlock the full model
Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or start a 7-day free trial for unlimited access.
Start 7-day free trial
๐ค The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Boser vs Diniz is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProTanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz tale of the tape
75"
Reach
79"
35
Age
35
4.82
SLpM
3.89
53%
Str. Acc.
56%
3.00
SApM
3.62
57%
Str. Def.
56%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
69%
TD Def.
70%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProTanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz by the numbers
Tanner Boser
finishes 33% ยท finished 22% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog
67%
(2-1)
Giving up reach
60%
(3-2)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
Vs southpaws
50%
(1-1)
Jhonata Diniz
finishes 20% ยท finished 40% (5 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
67%
(2-1)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz: your questions
- When is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz and what weight class is it?
- Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz is a Heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night, October 17, 2026 in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
- How is Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.