predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Daniel Santos
14-3 · Orthodox
vs
John Castaneda
21-8-1 · Switch
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Daniel Santos def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:28
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
71"
31
Age
34
5.15
SLpM
4.95
40%
Str. Acc.
51%
5.38
SApM
5.07
50%
Str. Def.
54%
2.60
TD Avg.
1.49
73%
TD Def.
75%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Daniel Santos
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge John Castaneda
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Daniel Santos
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Santos finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
John Castaneda finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.