predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Anthony Hernandez
15-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Marc-Andre Barriault
17-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Anthony Hernandez def.
SUB · R3 1:53
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
74"
32
Age
36
4.57
SLpM
5.65
60%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.10
SApM
5.94
51%
Str. Def.
49%
5.88
TD Avg.
0.34
68%
TD Def.
68%
1.60
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Anthony Hernandez
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Anthony Hernandez finishes 67% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
Marc-Andre Barriault finishes 31% · finished 31% (13 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating favorite 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.