predicted sports
← UFC 279
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Li Jingliang
19-9 · Orthodox
Catch Weight
Result
Daniel Rodriguez def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
39
Age
38
7.20
SLpM
4.46
49%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.40
SApM
3.95
57%
Str. Def.
56%
0.51
TD Avg.
1.19
64%
TD Def.
60%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Li Jingliang
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
Li Jingliang finishes 40% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.