← UFC 279
Catch Weight
Result
Khamzat Chimaev def.
SUB · R1 2:13
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
81"
32
Age
33
4.01
SLpM
4.24
54%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.98
SApM
3.21
52%
Str. Def.
50%
5.32
TD Avg.
0.79
87%
TD Def.
57%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Kevin Holland
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
Khamzat Chimaev
finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(2-0)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
89%
(8-1)
Kevin Holland
finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox
64%
(7-4)
When younger than opponent
59%
(10-7)
As the rating underdog
58%
(7-5)
With a reach advantage
55%
(12-10)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.