predicted sports
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Alistair Overeem
47-19 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Augusto Sakai
16-5-1 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Alistair Overeem def.
KO/TKO · R5 0:26
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
77"
46
Age
35
3.67
SLpM
4.60
64%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.44
SApM
3.83
57%
Str. Def.
48%
1.42
TD Avg.
0.23
73%
TD Def.
56%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Augusto Sakai
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Alistair Overeem
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Alistair Overeem
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alistair Overeem finishes 50% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
In 5-round fights 50% (1-1)
Augusto Sakai finishes 0% · finished 80% (5 fights)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.