UFC 331 ยท Lightweight
Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega
September 19, 2026 ยท Los Angeles, California, USA
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๐ค The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Moicano vs Ortega is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProRenato Moicano vs Brian Ortega tale of the tape
72"
Reach
69"
37
Age
35
4.10
SLpM
3.84
49%
Str. Acc.
37%
3.55
SApM
6.38
59%
Str. Def.
49%
1.68
TD Avg.
0.93
64%
TD Def.
54%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.90
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProRenato Moicano and Brian Ortega by the numbers
Renato Moicano
finishes 55% ยท finished 18% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox
100%
(4-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(3-0)
When older than opponent
71%
(5-2)
Brian Ortega
finishes 17% ยท finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
50%
(2-2)
When younger than opponent
33%
(1-2)
When older than opponent
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
33%
(2-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega: your questions
- When is Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega and what weight class is it?
- Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega is a Lightweight bout at UFC 331, September 19, 2026 in Los Angeles, California, USA.
- How is Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.