predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Terrance McKinney
18-8 · Switch
vs
Erick Gonzalez
14-8 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Terrance McKinney def.
SUB · R1 2:17
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
75"
31
Age
34
6.53
SLpM
2.40
55%
Str. Acc.
36%
3.45
SApM
8.08
43%
Str. Def.
40%
3.31
TD Avg.
6.00
72%
TD Def.
50%
2.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Terrance McKinney
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Erick Gonzalez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Terrance McKinney
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Terrance McKinney finishes 62% · finished 38% (13 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
Erick Gonzalez finishes 0% · finished 100% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.