predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mohammed Usman
12-4 · Orthodox
vs
Zac Pauga
7-3 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Mohammed Usman def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:36
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
76"
37
Age
38
3.85
SLpM
4.46
39%
Str. Acc.
62%
4.27
SApM
2.73
51%
Str. Def.
58%
0.56
TD Avg.
0.38
66%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mohammed Usman finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Zac Pauga finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.