← UFC 277
Lightweight
Result
Drew Dober def.
KO/TKO · R3 1:30
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
37
Age
35
4.48
SLpM
1.85
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.33
SApM
3.30
53%
Str. Def.
58%
0.61
TD Avg.
0.29
58%
TD Def.
44%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.50
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rafael Alves
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Drew Dober
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Drew Dober
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Drew Dober
finishes 50% · finished 33% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
80%
(4-1)
Vs southpaws
75%
(3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
75%
(3-1)
Rafael Alves
finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
33%
(1-2)
As the rating underdog
25%
(1-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.