predicted sports
← UFC 277
Alex Morono
24-13 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Matthew Semelsberger
11-8 · Switch
Welterweight
Result
Alex Morono def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
35
Age
33
4.90
SLpM
3.77
39%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.88
SApM
4.24
55%
Str. Def.
54%
0.32
TD Avg.
1.01
47%
TD Def.
45%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Morono finishes 14% · finished 14% (14 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 58% (7-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (4-4)
Matthew Semelsberger finishes 18% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.