predicted sports
← UFC 277
Magomed Ankalaev
21-2-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Anthony Smith
38-22 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Magomed Ankalaev def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:09
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
34
Age
37
3.65
SLpM
3.19
52%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.59
SApM
5.04
56%
Str. Def.
44%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.44
87%
TD Def.
50%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Anthony Smith
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 33% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Anthony Smith finishes 33% · finished 33% (12 fights)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.