predicted sports
← UFC 277
Alexandre Pantoja
30-6 · Orthodox
vs
Alex Perez
26-10 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Alexandre Pantoja def.
SUB · R1 1:31
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
65"
36
Age
34
4.38
SLpM
4.22
50%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.88
SApM
3.24
49%
Str. Def.
58%
2.79
TD Avg.
2.07
69%
TD Def.
74%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Alex Perez
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Alexandre Pantoja
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alexandre Pantoja
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (7-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
Alex Perez finishes 29% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 33% (2-4)
In 5-round fights 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.