predicted sports
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Jai Herbert
14-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Kyle Nelson
17-7-1 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Jai Herbert def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
71"
38
Age
35
3.19
SLpM
3.60
41%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.34
SApM
4.58
52%
Str. Def.
53%
0.42
TD Avg.
1.18
66%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Kyle Nelson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jai Herbert
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jai Herbert finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)
Kyle Nelson finishes 13% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.