predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Volkan Oezdemir
21-8 · Orthodox
vs
Paul Craig
17-10-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Volkan Oezdemir def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
36
Age
38
4.99
SLpM
2.50
48%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.19
SApM
3.04
55%
Str. Def.
43%
0.50
TD Avg.
1.43
80%
TD Def.
35%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Volkan Oezdemir
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Paul Craig
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Volkan Oezdemir
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Volkan Oezdemir finishes 38% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Giving up reach 57% (4-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
Paul Craig finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.