predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Paddy Pimblett
23-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jordan Leavitt
13-4 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Paddy Pimblett def.
SUB · R2 2:46
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
31
Age
31
5.49
SLpM
2.18
52%
Str. Acc.
58%
3.89
SApM
1.57
42%
Str. Def.
59%
0.69
TD Avg.
2.97
44%
TD Def.
30%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jordan Leavitt
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Paddy Pimblett
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Paddy Pimblett
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Paddy Pimblett finishes 63% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Jordan Leavitt finishes 40% · finished 30% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.