predicted sports
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Curtis Blaydes
19-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Tom Aspinall
15-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Curtis Blaydes def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:15
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
78"
35
Age
33
4.18
SLpM
7.63
52%
Str. Acc.
67%
2.76
SApM
3.62
53%
Str. Def.
56%
5.12
TD Avg.
2.62
35%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Curtis Blaydes
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Curtis Blaydes finishes 33% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 63% (5-3)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Tom Aspinall finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In title fights 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.