predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alex Caceres
21-15 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Austin Springer
12-4 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Alex Caceres def.
SUB · R1 3:38
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
38
Age
39
4.21
SLpM
3.54
49%
Str. Acc.
57%
3.09
SApM
3.15
62%
Str. Def.
41%
0.54
TD Avg.
3.37
64%
TD Def.
100%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Alex Caceres
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Alex Caceres
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Alex Caceres
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Caceres finishes 38% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.