predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Chase Sherman
16-12 · Orthodox
vs
Jared Vanderaa
12-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Chase Sherman def.
KO/TKO · R3 3:10
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
80"
36
Age
34
6.04
SLpM
4.96
45%
Str. Acc.
44%
6.65
SApM
5.67
52%
Str. Def.
45%
0.09
TD Avg.
0.18
74%
TD Def.
20%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jared Vanderaa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jared Vanderaa
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Chase Sherman
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Chase Sherman finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 17% (1-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 17% (1-5)
Jared Vanderaa finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.