predicted sports
← UFC 276
Alex Pereira
13-4 · Orthodox
vs
Sean Strickland
31-7 · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Alex Pereira def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:36
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
76"
38
Age
35
5.01
SLpM
5.98
61%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.72
SApM
4.53
52%
Str. Def.
60%
0.11
TD Avg.
0.66
80%
TD Def.
68%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Sean Strickland
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Alex Pereira
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Sean Strickland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Pereira finishes 62% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 86% (6-1)
Vs orthodox 78% (7-2)
Sean Strickland finishes 20% · finished 7% (15 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 90% (9-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.