predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Umar Nurmagomedov
20-1 · Orthodox
vs
Nate Maness
16-3 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Umar Nurmagomedov def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
72"
30
Age
35
3.86
SLpM
3.14
56%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.86
SApM
3.88
61%
Str. Def.
42%
4.03
TD Avg.
0.68
79%
TD Def.
80%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Umar Nurmagomedov
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Nate Maness
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Umar Nurmagomedov
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 33% · finished 0% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Nate Maness finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.