predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Arman Tsarukyan
23-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Mateusz Gamrot def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
72"
35
Age
29
3.21
SLpM
3.85
51%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.81
SApM
1.80
60%
Str. Def.
54%
5.22
TD Avg.
3.26
83%
TD Def.
75%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 38% · finished 8% (13 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 50% · finished 0% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (6-0)
Giving up reach 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 90% (9-1)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.