predicted sports
← UFC 275
Jake Matthews
23-8 · Orthodox
vs
Andre Fialho
16-8 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Jake Matthews def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:24
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
74"
31
Age
32
3.36
SLpM
3.30
44%
Str. Acc.
41%
2.58
SApM
6.26
60%
Str. Def.
45%
1.36
TD Avg.
0.25
66%
TD Def.
66%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jake Matthews
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Andre Fialho
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jake Matthews
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Matthews finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (6-3)
Andre Fialho finishes 29% · finished 57% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.