predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Dustin Poirier
30-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Dustin Poirier def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
37
Age
36
5.24
SLpM
4.82
50%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.57
SApM
4.94
52%
Str. Def.
49%
1.15
TD Avg.
0.68
64%
TD Def.
77%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Dan Hooker
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Dan Hooker
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Dustin Poirier finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.