Sunday, August 23, 2026 Β· 9:00 AM ET
AI Consensus:
Man City
(7/7 models)
Β·
Projected Total: 3.0 Goals
Β·
Both Teams to Score: 44%
β‘ AI Field vs Market Comparison
(Line-blind model average vs live market price)
Poisson & No-Vig Normalized
AI Avg
10%
/
Market
15%
-4.5%
Draw
AI Avg
17%
/
Market
18%
Even
AI Avg
73%
/
Market
68%
+4.8% Edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Poisson
58%
/
Market
68%
-9.8%
BTTS (Both Score)
AI Avg
44%
/
Market
61%
-16.9%
Frontier AI Model Forecasts & Market Edge
The AI Leaderboard β| Model |
|
Draw |
|
Proj Goals | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Market Pre-game price (no-vig) | 15% | 18% | 68% | β | 68% | 61% | Benchmark |
| Gemini 3.7 Flash 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GLM 5.2 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Sonnet 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Opus 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Grok 4.6 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GPT-5.6 Luna Pro 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| DeepSeek V4 Pro 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
π
See which model picked what, exact win probabilities, and projected scorelines.
Every model's 1X2 win probabilities, projected goals, and BTTS calls on this fixture. Line-blind and graded in public.
Official Injury & Availability Report
Direct FPL league feedBournemouth
Doubtful
Ryan Christie
(MID Β· Starter)
Suspended until 29 Aug
Out
Amine Adli
(MID Β· Starter)
Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
Out
Junior Kroupi
(MID Β· Starter)
Foot injury - Unknown return date
Doubtful
Tyler Adams
(MID Β· Starter)
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Doubtful
David Brooks
(MID Β· Starter)
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Doubtful
Γlvaro RodrΓguez
(FWD)
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Out
JuliΓ‘n Araujo ZΓΊΓ±iga
(DEF)
Thigh injury - Unknown return date
Doubtful
Julio Soler Barreto
(DEF)
Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Doubtful
Enes Γnal
(FWD)
Has joined Getafe permanently
Out
Veljko Milosavljevic
(DEF)
Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
Man City
Doubtful
Matheus Nunes
(DEF Β· Starter)
Knock - 75% chance of playing
Out
Rodrigo 'Rodri' Hernandez Cascante
(MID Β· Starter)
Back injury - Unknown return date