Saturday, August 22, 2026 Β· 10:00 AM ET
AI Consensus:
Nott'm Forest
(6/6 models)
Β·
Projected Total: 2.7 Goals
Β·
Both Teams to Score: 53%
β‘ AI Field vs Market Comparison
(Line-blind model average vs live market price)
Poisson & No-Vig Normalized
AI Avg
27%
/
Market
30%
-2.5%
Draw
AI Avg
26%
/
Market
29%
-2.6%
AI Avg
47%
/
Market
42%
+5.2% Edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Poisson
51%
/
Market
49%
+1.5% Edge
BTTS (Both Score)
AI Avg
53%
/
Market
55%
-2.2%
Frontier AI Model Forecasts & Market Edge
The AI Leaderboard β| Model |
|
Draw |
|
Proj Goals | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Market Pre-game price (no-vig) | 30% | 29% | 42% | β | 49% | 55% | Benchmark |
| Gemini 3.7 Flash 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GLM 5.2 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Sonnet 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Opus 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Grok 4.6 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GPT-5.6 Luna Pro 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
π
See which model picked what, exact win probabilities, and projected scorelines.
Every model's 1X2 win probabilities, projected goals, and BTTS calls on this fixture. Line-blind and graded in public.
Official Injury & Availability Report
Direct FPL league feedLeeds
Out
Gabriel Gudmundsson
(DEF Β· Starter)
Hamstring injury - Expected back 30 Aug
Out
Ilia Gruev
(MID Β· Starter)
Knee injury - Unknown return date
Doubtful
Jack Harrison
(MID)
Has joined New England Revolution permanently
Out
Mateo Joseph FernΓ‘ndez-Regatillo
(FWD)
Knee injury - Unknown return date
Nott'm Forest
Out
NicolΓ² Savona
(DEF Β· Starter)
Knee injury - Unknown return date