Coventry City
Arsenal
Friday, August 21, 2026 Β· 3:00 PM ET
AI Consensus:
Arsenal
(6/6 models)
Β·
Arsenal
(6/6 models)
Projected Total: 3.0 Goals
Β·
Both Teams to Score: 43%
β‘ AI Field vs Market Comparison
(Line-blind model average vs live market price)
Poisson & No-Vig Normalized
COV Win
AI Avg
10%
/
Market
6%
+4.6% Edge
Draw
AI Avg
17%
/
Market
11%
+5.9% Edge
ARS Win
AI Avg
73%
/
Market
83%
-10.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
Poisson
57%
/
Market
61%
-3.1%
BTTS (Both Score)
AI Avg
43%
/
Market
37%
+6.2% Edge
Frontier AI Model Forecasts & Market Edge
The AI Leaderboard β| Model |
COV Win
|
Draw |
ARS Win
|
Proj Goals | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Market Pre-game price (no-vig) | 6% | 11% | 83% | β | 61% | 37% | Benchmark |
| Gemini 3.7 Flash 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GLM 5.2 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Sonnet 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Claude Opus 5 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| Grok 4.6 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
| GPT-5.6 Luna Pro 7-Day Scan | π | π | π | π | π | π | π |
π
See which model picked what, exact win probabilities, and projected scorelines.
Every model's 1X2 win probabilities, projected goals, and BTTS calls on this fixture. Line-blind and graded in public.
Official Injury & Availability Report
Direct FPL league feed
Coventry City
Doubtful
Jack Rudoni
(MID)
Shoulder injury - 75% chance of playing
Doubtful
Ephron Mason-Clark
(MID)
Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Out
Haji Wright
(FWD)
Thigh injury - Unknown return date
Doubtful
Norman Bassette
(FWD)
Has joined KVC Westerlo on loan for the rest of the season
Arsenal
Out
JurriΓ«n Timber
(DEF Β· Starter)
Groin injury - Unknown return date
Out
William Saliba
(DEF Β· Starter)
Back injury - Unknown return date