College Football ยท Week 1
Toledo @ Michigan State
Friday, September 4, 2026 ยท 8:00 PM ET
ยท Spartan Stadium
#23
Away
Toledo
Rockets ยท Mid-American
#21
Home
Michigan State
Spartans ยท Big Ten
๐
Market Lines & AI Edges
Live market prices vs line-blind AI consensus
Live Market
Moneyline (Win Prob)
TOL
22.5ยข
MSU
78.5ยข
Point Spread
MSU -10.5
Market Midpoint: 47.5ยข
Game Total Points
O/U 47.5 pts
Over Price: 48.5ยข
๐ Advanced Metrics & Efficiency Profiles
| Toledo | Metric | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| 1642.5 | Elo Rating | 1427.6 |
| +6.0 | SP+ Net Rating | -3.4 |
| +0.009 | EPA/Play Offense | -0.023 |
| -0.082 | EPA/Play Defense | +0.012 |
| 620.1 | 247 Talent Composite | 717.4 |
๐ง Frontier AI Forecasts
๐
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