College Football ยท Week 1
Memphis @ UNLV
Saturday, August 29, 2026 ยท 10:00 PM ET
ยท Allegiant Stadium
#22
Away
Memphis
Tigers ยท American Athletic
#24
Home
UNLV
Rebels ยท Mountain West
๐ค
7-Day Scan
AI Model Consensus
Consensus Pick
UNLV
7/7 Models (100%)
Projected Score
25.7 - 29.2
Away - Home
Projected Margin
+3.5
Home Margin
Projected Total
54.9 pts
Combined Score
๐
Market Lines & AI Edges
Live market prices vs line-blind AI consensus
Live Market
Moneyline (Win Prob)
MEM
34.5ยข
UNLV
65.5ยข
AI Win Lean:
59%
(-6.1% vs Mkt)
Point Spread
UNLV -5.5
Market Midpoint: 49.5ยข
AI Margin:
+3.5 pts
(-2.0 cover)
Game Total Points
O/U 57.5 pts
Over Price: 49.0ยข
AI Proj Total:
54.9 pts
(UNDER by -2.6)
๐ Advanced Metrics & Efficiency Profiles
| Memphis | Metric | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 1569.3 | Elo Rating | 1639.6 |
| +7.6 | SP+ Net Rating | +4.3 |
| +0.034 | EPA/Play Offense | +0.079 |
| +0.015 | EPA/Play Defense | +0.043 |
| 668.6 | 247 Talent Composite | 700.5 |
๐ง Frontier AI Forecasts
๐
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