College Football ยท Week 1
New Mexico State @ Florida State
Saturday, August 29, 2026 ยท 7:00 PM ET
ยท Doak Campbell Stadium
Away
New Mexico State
Aggies ยท Conference USA
#25
Home
Florida State
Seminoles ยท ACC
๐ค
7-Day Scan
AI Model Consensus
Consensus Pick
Florida State
7/7 Models (100%)
Projected Score
14.1 - 38.4
Away - Home
Projected Margin
+24.3
Home Margin
Projected Total
52.5 pts
Combined Score
๐
Market Lines & AI Edges
Live market prices vs line-blind AI consensus
Live Market
Moneyline (Win Prob)
NMSU
2.5ยข
FSU
97.5ยข
AI Win Lean:
93%
(-4.1% vs Mkt)
Point Spread
FSU -30.5
Market Midpoint: 51.5ยข
AI Margin:
+24.3 pts
(-6.2 cover)
Game Total Points
O/U 53.5 pts
Over Price: 51.0ยข
AI Proj Total:
52.5 pts
(UNDER by -1.0)
๐ Advanced Metrics & Efficiency Profiles
| New Mexico State | Metric | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| 1321.0 | Elo Rating | 1481.4 |
| -15.5 | SP+ Net Rating | +7.2 |
| -0.073 | EPA/Play Offense | +0.052 |
| -0.011 | EPA/Play Defense | +0.009 |
| 402.9 | 247 Talent Composite | 828.5 |
๐ง Frontier AI Forecasts
๐
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