College Football ยท Week 1
ยท ACC
NC State @ Virginia
Saturday, August 29, 2026 ยท 3:30 PM ET
ยท Scott Stadium
#23
Away
NC State
Wolfpack ยท ACC
#19
Home
Virginia
Cavaliers ยท ACC
๐ค
7-Day Scan
AI Model Consensus
Consensus Pick
Virginia
4/7 Models (57%)
Projected Score
25.3 - 26.0
Away - Home
Projected Margin
+0.7
Home Margin
Projected Total
51.3 pts
Combined Score
๐
Market Lines & AI Edges
Live market prices vs line-blind AI consensus
Live Market
Moneyline (Win Prob)
NCSU
โ
UVA
โ
Point Spread
UVA -5.5
AI Margin:
+0.7 pts
(-4.8 cover)
Game Total Points
O/U 54.5 pts
AI Proj Total:
51.3 pts
(UNDER by -3.2)
๐ Advanced Metrics & Efficiency Profiles
| NC State | Metric | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| 1661.2 | Elo Rating | 1687.9 |
| +4.8 | SP+ Net Rating | +11.1 |
| +0.036 | EPA/Play Offense | -0.016 |
| +0.019 | EPA/Play Defense | -0.047 |
| 707.5 | 247 Talent Composite | 666.7 |
๐ง Frontier AI Forecasts
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